Ajax Amsterdam (w)
V
Real Madrid (w)
UEFA Women's Champions League · 26 Aug 2026 · kick-off 17:30 UTC. Team ratings, measured form patterns and the market’s view, with the record of how our own calls have actually settled.
The rating is built from results only, every finished match replayed in order, where beating a stronger side moves it further. It is not a probability, and a gap of ten points does not mean ten per cent more likely.
What the bookmakers make it
| Outcome | Implied | |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax Amsterdam (w) win | 13.8% | |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| Real Madrid (w) win | 67.2% |
| Double chance | Implied |
|---|---|
| Ajax Amsterdam (w) or draw | 32.8% |
| Either team to win | 80.9% |
| Real Madrid (w) or draw | 86.2% |
These are the bookmakers’ prices with the margin removed, taken as a median across the books we hold, not an InPlayWise model output. They are shown so you can see what the market expects, and they move as prices move.
Form patterns
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Fell behind first, 3 of last 20 | Opp to score first | 3/20 |
| Scored in 5 straight | To score | 5/20 |
| Won 4 straight | To win | 4/20 |
| Unbeaten in 4 straight | Double chance | 4/20 |
| Won the match, 13 of last 20 | To win | 13/20 |
| Failed to win, 7 of last 20 | Opp double chance | 7/20 |
| Lost the match, 3 of last 20 | Opp to win | 3/20 |
| Avoided defeat, 17 of last 20 | Double chance | 17/20 |
| Conceded 2+ goals, 4 of last 20 | Opp over 1.5 | 4/20 |
| Conceded in the first half, 5 of last 20 | 1st-half BTTS | 5/20 |
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Scored in 11 straight | To score | 11/20 |
| Won the match, 15 of last 20 | To win | 15/20 |
| Failed to win, 5 of last 20 | Opp double chance | 5/20 |
| Scored 2+ goals, 15 of last 20 | Team over 1.5 | 15/20 |
| Won to nil, 12 of last 20 | Win to nil | 12/20 |
| Conceded a goal, 8 of last 20 | BTTS, yes | 8/20 |
| Kept a clean sheet, 12 of last 20 | Win to nil / under | 12/20 |
| Beat weaker-rated sides, 15 of 17 | Favourite reliability | 15/17 |
| Faced a stronger-rated side, 3 of last 20 | Schedule difficulty (rating-based) | 3/20 |
| Both teams scored, 6 of last 20 | BTTS, yes | 6/20 |
Each line counts how often something has actually happened over the window shown. A pattern is a description of the past, not a forecast of this match.
How our calls have settled
Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.
More
Questions
When do Ajax Amsterdam (w) and Real Madrid (w) play?
Ajax Amsterdam (w) play Real Madrid (w) on 26 Aug 2026.
Does InPlayWise predict Ajax Amsterdam (w) vs Real Madrid (w)?
Our live calls for this match are made and settled inside the platform. This page shows the measured form, the team ratings and the bookmakers' implied chances, plus our published record of how calls have actually settled. 18+, information only.