Markets
Every market we price, and how each one has settled
One row per market, with the hit rate we have actually recorded and the number of settled selections behind it. A percentage without its denominator is not evidence, so the denominator is always here.
settled selections102,744
landed61.4%63,078 of 102,744
in-play calls settled13,560
in-play landed72.7%a separate population
Over 1.5 goals
Two or more goals in the match
77.1%15,816 of 20,514 settled
Both teams to score
Each side scores at least one
53.0%10,879 of 20,512 settled
Over 2.5 goals
Three or more goals in the match
55.7%11,417 of 20,506 settled
Double chance, home or draw
The home side wins or it is a draw
73.9%10,285 of 13,924 settled
Home win
The home side wins in 90 minutes
51.0%7,106 of 13,924 settled
Away win
The away side wins in 90 minutes
45.0%3,008 of 6,682 settled
Double chance, draw or away
The away side wins or it is a draw
68.3%4,567 of 6,682 settled
Goals in both halves
A goal before the break and a goal after it
-no settled record published
First-half over 0.5
At least one goal before the break
-no settled record published
Second-half over 0.5
At least one goal after the break
-no settled record published
Over 3.5 goals
Four or more goals in the match
-no settled record published
Under 2.5 goals
Two or fewer goals in the match
-no settled record published
Correct score
The exact final score
-no settled record published
By confidence floor every settled selection at or above each threshold
The strike rate rises with the floor, and so does the price you have to take to get it. That is the whole trap. A high hit rate at short odds can lose money over the same run that a lower one at longer odds makes it - the price decides that, not the percentage. A strike rate is not a profit.
Every selection is stored the moment it is published and settles automatically against the official result; wins and losses are both counted, and a match abandoned beyond a 48-hour grace voids the selection with the stake returned rather than counting as a loss. Predictions are model estimates for information only. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org