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Ajax 0-2 Inter: expected goals and shot map

UEFA Champions League · 17 Sep 2025 · Every shot from Ajax 0-2 Inter, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Ajax generated the better chances, 1.26 xG to Inter's 1.24. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality21 shots
Ajax
 
Inter
1.26
Expected goals (xG)
1.24
0.75
On-target xG (xGOT)
1.71
7
Shots
14
2
On target
4
2
Big chances
0
55.7%
Possession
44.3%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Anton Gaaei · 14' · xG 0.01Marcus Thuram · 1' · xG 0.01 · blockedFederico Dimarco · 29' · xG 0.02Kasper Dolberg · 69' · xG 0.02 · on targetMika Godts · 44' · xG 0.02 · blockedHakan Çalhanoglu · 2' · xG 0.03 · blockedDavy Klaassen · 74' · xG 0.03Marcus Thuram · 82' · xG 0.04Marcus Thuram · 81' · xG 0.05 · blockedOliver Edvardsen · 85' · xG 0.06Marcus Thuram · 33' · xG 0.06Marcus Thuram · 47' · xG 0.08 · GOALFederico Dimarco · 57' · xG 0.10 · on targetFrancesco Pio Esposito · 81' · xG 0.10 · blockedFederico Dimarco · 51' · xG 0.11 · blockedDavide Frattesi · 77' · xG 0.13Marcus Thuram · 42' · xG 0.13 · GOALHakan Çalhanoglu · 47' · xG 0.14 · blockedMarcus Thuram · 2' · xG 0.23 · on targetKasper Dolberg · 90' · xG 0.55Mika Godts · 40' · xG 0.57 · on target
Ajax Inter Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Ajax attack right, Inter attack left. Ajax took 0 from 1.26 xG, Inter managed 1.24 xG for 2.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.241.2642'47'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Ajax 1.26 xG, Inter 1.24 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Ajax and Inter have?

Ajax had 7 shots (2 on target) for 1.26 xG. Inter had 14 shots (4 on target) for 1.24 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.

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