Ajax 2-1 NAC Breda: expected goals and shot map
Netherlands Eredivisie · 27 Sep 2025 · Every shot from Ajax 2-1 NAC Breda, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Ajax generated the better chances, 2.00 xG to NAC Breda's 1.56. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.
Ajax attack right, NAC Breda attack left. Ajax took 2 from 2.00 xG, NAC Breda managed 1.56 xG for 1.
Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Ajax 2.00 xG, NAC Breda 1.56 xG.
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Questions
What is expected goals (xG)?
Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.
What is xGOT?
Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.
How many shots did Ajax and NAC Breda have?
Ajax had 12 shots (7 on target) for 2.00 xG. NAC Breda had 17 shots (7 on target) for 1.56 xG.
Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?
InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.