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Ajax 1-1 NEC Nijmegen: expected goals and shot map

Netherlands Eredivisie · 21 Feb 2026 · Every shot from Ajax 1-1 NEC Nijmegen, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Ajax generated the better chances, 1.72 xG to NEC Nijmegen's 1.22. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality26 shots
Ajax
 
NEC Nijmegen
1.72
Expected goals (xG)
1.22
1.69
On-target xG (xGOT)
2.19
9
Shots
17
4
On target
9
1
Big chances
0
48.0%
Possession
52.0%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Eliazer Dasa · 22' · xG 0.01 · on targetTjaronn Chery · 56' · xG 0.02 · on targetYoussef El Kachati · 83' · xG 0.02 · on targetTjaronn Chery · 59' · xG 0.02 · blockedTjaronn Chery · 68' · xG 0.03 · on targetNoé Lebreton · 49' · xG 0.03 · on targetSami Ouaissa · 60' · xG 0.04 · blockedMika Godts · 45' · xG 0.04 · on targetYouri Baas · 48' · xG 0.05 · blockedKian Fitz-Jim · 47' · xG 0.06 · on targetAhmetcan Kaplan · 35' · xG 0.06 · on targetSami Ouaissa · 59' · xG 0.07Darko Nejasmic · 57' · xG 0.08 · blockedSami Ouaissa · 11' · xG 0.08Mika Godts · 39' · xG 0.09 · blockedAhmetcan Kaplan · 28' · xG 0.09Sean Steur · 45' · xG 0.09 · blockedDarko Nejasmic · 57' · xG 0.10 · GOALAhmetcan Kaplan · 90' · xG 0.10 · on targetBryan Linssen · 32' · xG 0.12 · on targetNoé Lebreton · 9' · xG 0.13Darko Nejasmic · 45' · xG 0.21Kian Fitz-Jim · 2' · xG 0.21 · on targetMika Godts · 39' · xG 0.22 · GOALMika Godts · 89' · xG 0.29Kasper Dolberg · 33' · xG 0.67
Ajax NEC Nijmegen Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Ajax attack right, NEC Nijmegen attack left. Ajax took 1 from 1.72 xG, NEC Nijmegen managed 1.22 xG for 1.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.221.7239'57'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Ajax 1.72 xG, NEC Nijmegen 1.22 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Ajax and NEC Nijmegen have?

Ajax had 9 shots (4 on target) for 1.72 xG. NEC Nijmegen had 17 shots (9 on target) for 1.22 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

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