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Aston Villa 1-0 Manchester City: expected goals and shot map

English Premier League · 26 Oct 2025 · Every shot from Aston Villa 1-0 Manchester City, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Manchester City generated the better chances, 1.18 xG to Aston Villa's 0.82. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality27 shots
Aston Villa
 
Manchester City
0.82
Expected goals (xG)
1.18
0.81
On-target xG (xGOT)
0.16
9
Shots
18
3
On target
4
0
Big chances
0
47.0%
Possession
53.0%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Erling Haaland · 90' · xG 0.02 · on targetJosko Gvardiol · 68' · xG 0.02Emiliano Buendia · 3' · xG 0.02Savinho · 60' · xG 0.03 · blockedMatheus Nunes · 90' · xG 0.03Tijjani Reijnders · 6' · xG 0.03Jadon Sancho · 69' · xG 0.04 · on targetTijjani Reijnders · 49' · xG 0.04Rúben Dias · 60' · xG 0.04 · blockedSavinho · 60' · xG 0.04 · on targetNico González · 72' · xG 0.04 · blockedJosko Gvardiol · 61' · xG 0.05Erling Haaland · 71' · xG 0.05 · on targetPhil Foden · 48' · xG 0.05 · blockedMatty Cash · 19' · xG 0.06 · GOALLucas Digne · 17' · xG 0.06 · blockedOllie Watkins · 31' · xG 0.06 · blockedRayan Cherki · 87' · xG 0.07 · blockedOllie Watkins · 31' · xG 0.07 · blockedNico González · 90' · xG 0.08 · blockedRúben Dias · 48' · xG 0.09 · blockedNico O'Reilly · 80' · xG 0.13 · blockedJohn McGinn · 53' · xG 0.13 · blockedJohn McGinn · 30' · xG 0.14 · blockedErling Haaland · 22' · xG 0.16 · on targetPhil Foden · 83' · xG 0.21 · blockedJadon Sancho · 69' · xG 0.25 · on target
Aston Villa Manchester City Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Aston Villa attack right, Manchester City attack left. Aston Villa took 1 from 0.82 xG, Manchester City managed 1.18 xG for 0.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.180.8219'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Aston Villa 0.82 xG, Manchester City 1.18 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Aston Villa and Manchester City have?

Aston Villa had 9 shots (3 on target) for 0.82 xG. Manchester City had 18 shots (4 on target) for 1.18 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

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