Aston Villa 3-1 Nottingham Forest: expected goals and shot map
English Premier League · 3 Jan 2026 · Every shot from Aston Villa 3-1 Nottingham Forest, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Aston Villa generated the better chances, 1.69 xG to Nottingham Forest's 0.89. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.
Aston Villa attack right, Nottingham Forest attack left. Aston Villa took 3 from 1.69 xG, Nottingham Forest managed 0.89 xG for 1.
Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Aston Villa 1.69 xG, Nottingham Forest 0.89 xG.
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Questions
What is expected goals (xG)?
Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.
What is xGOT?
Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.
How many shots did Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest have?
Aston Villa had 11 shots (4 on target) for 1.69 xG. Nottingham Forest had 10 shots (5 on target) for 0.89 xG.
Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?
InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.