InPlayWise
PredictionsShot maps › AZ Alkmaar v Telstar

AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar: expected goals and shot map

Netherlands Eredivisie · 5 Oct 2025 · Every shot from AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). AZ Alkmaar generated the better chances, 3.96 xG to Telstar's 1.06. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

See live win probability on InPlayWiseWe model every fixture before kick-off and live in-play, not just after. Free daily picks.
Expected goals & shot quality42 shots
AZ Alkmaar
 
Telstar
3.96
Expected goals (xG)
1.06
3.47
On-target xG (xGOT)
1.26
28
Shots
14
10
On target
5
3
Big chances
0
58.8%
Possession
41.2%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Kay Tejan · 65' · xG 0.00Patrick Brouwer · 18' · xG 0.01 · on targetWouter Goes · 8' · xG 0.01 · blockedKay Tejan · 22' · xG 0.01 · on targetGuus Offerhaus · 63' · xG 0.01 · on targetDenso Kasius · 33' · xG 0.01 · blockedSoufiane Hetli · 3' · xG 0.02 · blockedKay Tejan · 30' · xG 0.02 · blockedKees Smit · 42' · xG 0.02Weslley Pinto · 76' · xG 0.03Alexandre Penetra · 51' · xG 0.03Kees Smit · 51' · xG 0.03 · blockedIsak Steiner Jensen · 17' · xG 0.04 · blockedSoufiane Hetli · 49' · xG 0.04Kees Smit · 18' · xG 0.04 · blockedSven Mijnans · 18' · xG 0.04 · on targetTroy Parrott · 90' · xG 0.06 · on targetSven Mijnans · 13' · xG 0.07 · blockedMexx Meerdink · 27' · xG 0.07Isak Steiner Jensen · 45' · xG 0.07 · on targetTroy Parrott · 90' · xG 0.08 · blockedMexx Meerdink · 13' · xG 0.08Nils Rossen · 87' · xG 0.08 · blockedWeslley Pinto · 78' · xG 0.09 · on targetMohamed Hamdaoui · 87' · xG 0.09 · blockedMexx Meerdink · 63' · xG 0.10 · on targetMilan Zonneveld · 68' · xG 0.11Matej Sín · 50' · xG 0.12 · on targetIsak Steiner Jensen · 13' · xG 0.12 · blockedKay Tejan · 60' · xG 0.13Mexx Meerdink · 13' · xG 0.13 · blockedMatej Sín · 45' · xG 0.15 · blockedMilan Zonneveld · 90' · xG 0.15Isak Steiner Jensen · 57' · xG 0.17Mateo Chávez · 40' · xG 0.18 · on targetTyrese Noslin · 61' · xG 0.18 · GOALSven Mijnans · 41' · xG 0.21 · on targetMilan Zonneveld · 90' · xG 0.21 · on targetSven Mijnans · 43' · xG 0.29Mexx Meerdink · 17' · xG 0.38Matej Sín · 45' · xG 0.56 · GOALMexx Meerdink · 15' · xG 0.79 · GOAL
AZ Alkmaar Telstar Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

AZ Alkmaar attack right, Telstar attack left. AZ Alkmaar took 2 from 3.96 xG, Telstar managed 1.06 xG for 1.

Get shot-by-shot xG in-playWatch expected goals build live on the platform, with our model's single call on every match.
The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.03.04.05.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.063.9615'45'61'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. AZ Alkmaar 3.96 xG, Telstar 1.06 xG.

This match, before it happens

This page is the shot map of a game that has finished. On InPlayWise you get the same depth on the fixtures still to come, and live while they play:

  • Live win probability for every fixture, moving in-play
  • Our single free call on each match, with the best price
  • Expected goals and momentum as they build, minute by minute
  • Every market: goals, both teams to score, corners, cards
  • A public track record, every call settled, wins and losses
Open InPlayWise freeFree daily picks, no card needed. 18+, information only.

How our published calls have settled

Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.

More Netherlands Eredivisie shot maps

More

Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did AZ Alkmaar and Telstar have?

AZ Alkmaar had 28 shots (10 on target) for 3.96 xG. Telstar had 14 shots (5 on target) for 1.06 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.

See the full track recordEvery call we make is settled and published, wins and losses together.