InPlayWise
PredictionsShot maps › Brighton & Hove Albion v Nottingham Forest

Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Nottingham Forest: expected goals and shot map

English Premier League · 1 Mar 2026 · Every shot from Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Nottingham Forest, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Brighton & Hove Albion generated the better chances, 1.26 xG to Nottingham Forest's 0.79. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

See live win probability on InPlayWiseWe model every fixture before kick-off and live in-play, not just after. Free daily picks.
Expected goals & shot quality27 shots
Brighton & Hove Albion
 
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Expected goals (xG)
0.79
1.23
On-target xG (xGOT)
0.58
14
Shots
13
7
On target
4
1
Big chances
0
53.3%
Possession
46.7%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Ferdi Kadioglu · 55' · xG 0.01Kaoru Mitoma · 49' · xG 0.01Pascal Groß · 53' · xG 0.02 · on targetOmari Hutchinson · 2' · xG 0.02 · on targetFerdi Kadioglu · 81' · xG 0.02Diego Gómez · 6' · xG 0.03 · GOALKaoru Mitoma · 3' · xG 0.03 · on targetDanny Welbeck · 26' · xG 0.03Jack Hinshelwood · 37' · xG 0.04 · on targetMorgan Gibbs-White · 13' · xG 0.04 · GOALDiego Gómez · 65' · xG 0.04 · blockedIgor Jesus · 45' · xG 0.05 · blockedCallum Hudson-Odoi · 42' · xG 0.05 · blockedMorgan Gibbs-White · 90' · xG 0.05Taiwo Awoniyi · 85' · xG 0.06Elliot Anderson · 65' · xG 0.06Dilane Bakwa · 90' · xG 0.06 · blockedJair Cunha · 90' · xG 0.07 · blockedIgor Jesus · 60' · xG 0.08 · blockedJack Hinshelwood · 35' · xG 0.08Ibrahim Sangaré · 60' · xG 0.08 · on targetMorgan Gibbs-White · 73' · xG 0.09 · on targetJair Cunha · 90' · xG 0.09 · blockedMats Wieffer · 25' · xG 0.10 · on targetDanny Welbeck · 48' · xG 0.12 · blockedDanny Welbeck · 15' · xG 0.23 · GOALKaoru Mitoma · 18' · xG 0.50 · on target
Brighton & Hove Albion Nottingham Forest Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Brighton & Hove Albion attack right, Nottingham Forest attack left. Brighton & Hove Albion took 2 from 1.26 xG, Nottingham Forest managed 0.79 xG for 1.

Get shot-by-shot xG in-playWatch expected goals build live on the platform, with our model's single call on every match.
The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.015'30'45'60'75'90'0.791.266'13'15'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Brighton & Hove Albion 1.26 xG, Nottingham Forest 0.79 xG.

This match, before it happens

This page is the shot map of a game that has finished. On InPlayWise you get the same depth on the fixtures still to come, and live while they play:

  • Live win probability for every fixture, moving in-play
  • Our single free call on each match, with the best price
  • Expected goals and momentum as they build, minute by minute
  • Every market: goals, both teams to score, corners, cards
  • A public track record, every call settled, wins and losses
Open InPlayWise freeFree daily picks, no card needed. 18+, information only.

How our published calls have settled

Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.

More English Premier League shot maps

More

Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Brighton & Hove Albion and Nottingham Forest have?

Brighton & Hove Albion had 14 shots (7 on target) for 1.26 xG. Nottingham Forest had 13 shots (4 on target) for 0.79 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.

See the full track recordEvery call we make is settled and published, wins and losses together.