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Bristol City 1-2 Watford: expected goals and shot map

English Football League Championship · 27 Feb 2026 · Every shot from Bristol City 1-2 Watford, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Bristol City generated the better chances, 0.91 xG to Watford's 0.80. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality22 shots
Bristol City
 
Watford
0.91
Expected goals (xG)
0.80
1.08
On-target xG (xGOT)
2.50
11
Shots
11
4
On target
4
1
Big chances
0
65.0%
Possession
35.0%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Tomi Horvat · 33' · xG 0.01 · blockedEdo Kayembe · 90' · xG 0.02Tomi Horvat · 45' · xG 0.02 · blockedGiorgi Chakvetadze · 62' · xG 0.02 · blockedNestory Irankunda · 31' · xG 0.02Max Bird · 90' · xG 0.03 · on targetMax Bird · 90' · xG 0.03Thomas Ince · 72' · xG 0.03 · blockedRoss McCrorie · 82' · xG 0.03Jason Knight · 21' · xG 0.03 · blockedSaba Goglichidze · 27' · xG 0.04Scott Twine · 33' · xG 0.06 · blockedGiorgi Chakvetadze · 43' · xG 0.06 · blockedRoss McCrorie · 14' · xG 0.07 · on targetJeremy Ngakia · 77' · xG 0.07 · GOALImran Louza · 56' · xG 0.07 · on targetLuca Kjerrumgaard · 75' · xG 0.09 · on targetTomi Horvat · 30' · xG 0.10 · on targetSinclair Armstrong · 67' · xG 0.10Nestory Irankunda · 62' · xG 0.11Luca Kjerrumgaard · 7' · xG 0.27 · GOALScott Twine · 36' · xG 0.44 · GOAL
Bristol City Watford Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Bristol City attack right, Watford attack left. Bristol City took 1 from 0.91 xG, Watford managed 0.80 xG for 2.

Get shot-by-shot xG in-playWatch expected goals build live on the platform, with our model's single call on every match.
The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.015'30'45'60'75'90'0.800.917'36'77'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Bristol City 0.91 xG, Watford 0.80 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Bristol City and Watford have?

Bristol City had 11 shots (4 on target) for 0.91 xG. Watford had 11 shots (4 on target) for 0.80 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

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