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Derby County 1-1 Southampton: expected goals and shot map

English Football League Championship · 4 Oct 2025 · Every shot from Derby County 1-1 Southampton, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Derby County generated the better chances, 1.74 xG to Southampton's 1.06. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality22 shots
Derby County
 
Southampton
1.74
Expected goals (xG)
1.06
2.51
On-target xG (xGOT)
1.40
9
Shots
13
5
On target
6
2
Big chances
1
37.7%
Possession
62.3%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Leo Scienza · 38' · xG 0.02 · on targetLeo Scienza · 50' · xG 0.03Leo Scienza · 44' · xG 0.03Craig Forsyth · 14' · xG 0.03Finn Azaz · 89' · xG 0.03 · blockedTom Fellows · 71' · xG 0.03 · blockedRyan Manning · 6' · xG 0.03 · on targetShea Charles · 76' · xG 0.03 · blockedCarlton Morris · 13' · xG 0.03 · on targetTom Fellows · 43' · xG 0.03 · on targetCarlton Morris · 65' · xG 0.04Ross Stewart · 26' · xG 0.04 · on targetPatrick Agyemang · 56' · xG 0.05Kayden Jackson · 81' · xG 0.07 · on targetTom Fellows · 90' · xG 0.10 · on targetCarlton Morris · 9' · xG 0.11Adam Armstrong · 59' · xG 0.15Ryan Manning · 4' · xG 0.18Patrick Agyemang · 40' · xG 0.18 · GOALAdam Armstrong · 7' · xG 0.38 · GOALAndreas Weimann · 9' · xG 0.57 · on targetAndreas Weimann · 17' · xG 0.65 · on target
Derby County Southampton Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Derby County attack right, Southampton attack left. Derby County took 1 from 1.74 xG, Southampton managed 1.06 xG for 1.

Get shot-by-shot xG in-playWatch expected goals build live on the platform, with our model's single call on every match.
The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.061.747'40'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Derby County 1.74 xG, Southampton 1.06 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Derby County and Southampton have?

Derby County had 9 shots (5 on target) for 1.74 xG. Southampton had 13 shots (6 on target) for 1.06 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

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