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FC Köln 2-1 Mainz 05: expected goals and shot map

Bundesliga · 17 Jan 2026 · Every shot from FC Köln 2-1 Mainz 05, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). FC Köln generated the better chances, 2.14 xG to Mainz 05's 1.52. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality30 shots
FC Köln
 
Mainz 05
2.14
Expected goals (xG)
1.52
2.40
On-target xG (xGOT)
1.43
20
Shots
10
6
On target
7
3
Big chances
2
62.2%
Possession
37.8%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Danny da Costa · 45' · xG 0.01 · on targetPhillip Tietz · 62' · xG 0.01 · on targetPhillip Tietz · 88' · xG 0.01Jakub Kaminski · 9' · xG 0.02Saïd El Mala · 4' · xG 0.02Marius Bülter · 69' · xG 0.02 · on targetSilas Katompa Mvumpa · 39' · xG 0.02 · on targetMarius Bülter · 44' · xG 0.03Marius Bülter · 85' · xG 0.03Linton Maina · 27' · xG 0.03 · on targetRagnar Ache · 65' · xG 0.03 · blockedJakub Kaminski · 59' · xG 0.03 · blockedMarius Bülter · 50' · xG 0.03 · on targetSaïd El Mala · 11' · xG 0.04Stefan Bell · 29' · xG 0.06 · GOALJakub Kaminski · 25' · xG 0.06 · blockedRagnar Ache · 56' · xG 0.07 · blockedMarius Bülter · 55' · xG 0.07Phillip Tietz · 32' · xG 0.09 · on targetRagnar Ache · 65' · xG 0.12Eric Martel · 45' · xG 0.12 · blockedSilvan Widmer · 19' · xG 0.13Marius Bülter · 68' · xG 0.14 · blockedSaïd El Mala · 90' · xG 0.15Kacper Potulski · 19' · xG 0.24Ragnar Ache · 85' · xG 0.31 · GOALArmindo Sieb · 81' · xG 0.40 · on targetRagnar Ache · 57' · xG 0.41 · GOALSaïd El Mala · 90' · xG 0.42 · on targetSilas Katompa Mvumpa · 36' · xG 0.55 · on target
FC Köln Mainz 05 Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

FC Köln attack right, Mainz 05 attack left. FC Köln took 2 from 2.14 xG, Mainz 05 managed 1.52 xG for 1.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.03.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.522.1429'57'85'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. FC Köln 2.14 xG, Mainz 05 1.52 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did FC Köln and Mainz 05 have?

FC Köln had 20 shots (6 on target) for 2.14 xG. Mainz 05 had 10 shots (7 on target) for 1.52 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

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