Hoffenheim 1-2 Mainz 05: expected goals and shot map
Bundesliga · 4 Apr 2026 · Every shot from Hoffenheim 1-2 Mainz 05, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Mainz 05 generated the better chances, 2.41 xG to Hoffenheim's 1.16. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.
Hoffenheim attack right, Mainz 05 attack left. Hoffenheim took 1 from 1.16 xG, Mainz 05 managed 2.41 xG for 2.
Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Hoffenheim 1.16 xG, Mainz 05 2.41 xG.
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Questions
What is expected goals (xG)?
Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.
What is xGOT?
Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.
How many shots did Hoffenheim and Mainz 05 have?
Hoffenheim had 16 shots (5 on target) for 1.16 xG. Mainz 05 had 9 shots (5 on target) for 2.41 xG.
Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?
InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.