InPlayWise
PredictionsShot maps › Leeds United v Chelsea

Leeds United 3-1 Chelsea: expected goals and shot map

English Premier League · 3 Dec 2025 · Every shot from Leeds United 3-1 Chelsea, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Leeds United generated the better chances, 2.79 xG to Chelsea's 0.96. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

See live win probability on InPlayWiseWe model every fixture before kick-off and live in-play, not just after. Free daily picks.
Expected goals & shot quality31 shots
Leeds United
 
Chelsea
2.79
Expected goals (xG)
0.96
2.53
On-target xG (xGOT)
0.77
17
Shots
14
5
On target
2
3
Big chances
0
29.3%
Possession
70.7%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Ao Tanaka · 41' · xG 0.01Anton Stach · 5' · xG 0.01 · blockedEnzo Fernández · 34' · xG 0.02 · blockedLukas Nmecha · 48' · xG 0.02Anton Stach · 34' · xG 0.03Ao Tanaka · 3' · xG 0.03Enzo Fernández · 71' · xG 0.03 · blockedEstevao · 27' · xG 0.04Liam Delap · 52' · xG 0.04Jamie Bynoe-Gittens · 27' · xG 0.04 · blockedEstevao · 26' · xG 0.05 · blockedGabriel Gudmundsson · 80' · xG 0.05Noah Okafor · 82' · xG 0.06Marc Guiu · 83' · xG 0.06Tosin Adarabioyo · 27' · xG 0.06 · blockedLiam Delap · 58' · xG 0.06Anton Stach · 2' · xG 0.07 · blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · 4' · xG 0.07Joao Pedro · 15' · xG 0.07Enzo Fernández · 90' · xG 0.08Cole Palmer · 69' · xG 0.09Jaka Bijol · 6' · xG 0.09 · GOALAo Tanaka · 23' · xG 0.10Ao Tanaka · 43' · xG 0.10 · GOALPascal Struijk · 16' · xG 0.11Pedro Neto · 50' · xG 0.16 · GOALLiam Delap · 38' · xG 0.16 · on targetNoah Okafor · 72' · xG 0.30 · on targetDominic Calvert-Lewin · 49' · xG 0.32Lukas Nmecha · 48' · xG 0.44 · on targetDominic Calvert-Lewin · 72' · xG 0.99 · GOAL
Leeds United Chelsea Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Leeds United attack right, Chelsea attack left. Leeds United took 3 from 2.79 xG, Chelsea managed 0.96 xG for 1.

Get shot-by-shot xG in-playWatch expected goals build live on the platform, with our model's single call on every match.
The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.03.04.015'30'45'60'75'90'0.962.796'43'50'72'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Leeds United 2.79 xG, Chelsea 0.96 xG.

This match, before it happens

This page is the shot map of a game that has finished. On InPlayWise you get the same depth on the fixtures still to come, and live while they play:

  • Live win probability for every fixture, moving in-play
  • Our single free call on each match, with the best price
  • Expected goals and momentum as they build, minute by minute
  • Every market: goals, both teams to score, corners, cards
  • A public track record, every call settled, wins and losses
Open InPlayWise freeFree daily picks, no card needed. 18+, information only.

How our published calls have settled

Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.

More English Premier League shot maps

More

Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Leeds United and Chelsea have?

Leeds United had 17 shots (5 on target) for 2.79 xG. Chelsea had 14 shots (2 on target) for 0.96 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.

See the full track recordEvery call we make is settled and published, wins and losses together.