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Leeds United 3-1 Nottingham Forest: expected goals and shot map

English Premier League · 6 Feb 2026 · Every shot from Leeds United 3-1 Nottingham Forest, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Leeds United generated the better chances, 2.85 xG to Nottingham Forest's 1.33. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality30 shots
Leeds United
 
Nottingham Forest
2.85
Expected goals (xG)
1.33
3.17
On-target xG (xGOT)
1.49
14
Shots
16
5
On target
6
3
Big chances
1
55.4%
Possession
44.6%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Ryan Yates · 73' · xG 0.02 · blockedIgor Jesus · 13' · xG 0.02 · on targetMorgan Gibbs-White · 42' · xG 0.02 · blockedJoe Rodon · 3' · xG 0.03 · blockedOla Aina · 89' · xG 0.03Ibrahim Sangaré · 39' · xG 0.03 · blockedIlia Gruev · 49' · xG 0.04 · blockedOla Aina · 90' · xG 0.04Nicolás Dominguez · 11' · xG 0.04 · blockedJames Justin · 63' · xG 0.04Ibrahim Sangaré · 40' · xG 0.04Brenden Aaronson · 66' · xG 0.04 · blockedIbrahim Sangaré · 90' · xG 0.05 · on targetNoah Okafor · 49' · xG 0.06 · blockedMorgan Gibbs-White · 44' · xG 0.06 · on targetIgor Jesus · 21' · xG 0.07Dan Ndoye · 75' · xG 0.07Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 24' · xG 0.09James Justin · 30' · xG 0.10 · on targetCallum Hudson-Odoi · 10' · xG 0.11 · on targetPascal Struijk · 66' · xG 0.11 · blockedNicolás Dominguez · 11' · xG 0.15 · on targetLorenzo Lucca · 86' · xG 0.16 · GOALBrenden Aaronson · 3' · xG 0.17 · blockedIlia Gruev · 66' · xG 0.24 · on targetNoah Okafor · 24' · xG 0.26Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 49' · xG 0.38 · GOALMorato · 78' · xG 0.43Jayden Bogle · 26' · xG 0.64 · GOALNoah Okafor · 30' · xG 0.64 · GOAL
Leeds United Nottingham Forest Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Leeds United attack right, Nottingham Forest attack left. Leeds United took 3 from 2.85 xG, Nottingham Forest managed 1.33 xG for 1.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.03.04.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.332.8526'30'49'86'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Leeds United 2.85 xG, Nottingham Forest 1.33 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Leeds United and Nottingham Forest have?

Leeds United had 14 shots (5 on target) for 2.85 xG. Nottingham Forest had 16 shots (6 on target) for 1.33 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

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