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Lens 3-1 Brest: expected goals and shot map

French Ligue 1 · 29 Aug 2025 · Every shot from Lens 3-1 Brest, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Lens generated the better chances, 3.99 xG to Brest's 1.08. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality39 shots
Lens
 
Brest
3.99
Expected goals (xG)
1.08
5.01
On-target xG (xGOT)
1.06
30
Shots
9
10
On target
2
4
Big chances
1
66.8%
Possession
33.2%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Jonathan Gradit · 82' · xG 0.01Rayan Fofana · 45' · xG 0.02 · on targetSamson Baidoo · 66' · xG 0.02 · blockedDeiver Machado · 32' · xG 0.02 · blockedMamadou Sangare · 78' · xG 0.02 · blockedMatthieu Udol · 5' · xG 0.03 · blockedJoris Chotard · 13' · xG 0.03 · blockedMatthieu Udol · 52' · xG 0.03Mama Baldé · 15' · xG 0.03 · blockedMamadou Sangare · 66' · xG 0.03 · on targetMatthieu Udol · 84' · xG 0.04Justin Bourgault · 90' · xG 0.04Saud Abdulhamid · 90' · xG 0.05 · blockedSamson Baidoo · 63' · xG 0.05 · on targetKamory Doumbia · 44' · xG 0.05 · blockedMatthieu Udol · 5' · xG 0.06 · blockedJulien Le Cardinal · 47' · xG 0.06Morgan Guilavogui · 77' · xG 0.07 · blockedMamadou Sangare · 78' · xG 0.07 · blockedFlorian Thauvin · 50' · xG 0.07Deiver Machado · 38' · xG 0.07 · blockedMatthieu Udol · 67' · xG 0.07 · on targetMatthieu Udol · 77' · xG 0.08 · blockedKamory Doumbia · 62' · xG 0.10 · blockedRayan Fofana · 23' · xG 0.10Malang Sarr · 5' · xG 0.11 · blockedLudovic Ajorque · 47' · xG 0.12 · blockedMorgan Guilavogui · 78' · xG 0.13 · GOALKamory Doumbia · 26' · xG 0.13 · on targetRayan Fofana · 63' · xG 0.14Morgan Guilavogui · 85' · xG 0.15Wesley Said · 41' · xG 0.19 · on targetMalang Sarr · 5' · xG 0.21 · on targetRayan Fofana · 62' · xG 0.29 · on targetAdrien Thomasson · 90' · xG 0.30 · GOALRayan Fofana · 28' · xG 0.37Adrien Thomasson · 33' · xG 0.41Mama Baldé · 24' · xG 0.50 · GOALFlorian Thauvin · 60' · xG 0.79 · GOAL
Lens Brest Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Lens attack right, Brest attack left. Lens took 3 from 3.99 xG, Brest managed 1.08 xG for 1.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.03.04.05.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.083.9924'60'78'90'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Lens 3.99 xG, Brest 1.08 xG.

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Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Lens and Brest have?

Lens had 30 shots (10 on target) for 3.99 xG. Brest had 9 shots (2 on target) for 1.08 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.

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