Mainz 05 1-1 Hamburger SV: expected goals and shot map
Bundesliga · 20 Feb 2026 · Every shot from Mainz 05 1-1 Hamburger SV, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Mainz 05 generated the better chances, 1.53 xG to Hamburger SV's 0.70. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.
Mainz 05 attack right, Hamburger SV attack left. Mainz 05 took 1 from 1.53 xG, Hamburger SV managed 0.70 xG for 1.
Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Mainz 05 1.53 xG, Hamburger SV 0.70 xG.
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Questions
What is expected goals (xG)?
Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.
What is xGOT?
Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.
How many shots did Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV have?
Mainz 05 had 17 shots (3 on target) for 1.53 xG. Hamburger SV had 14 shots (5 on target) for 0.70 xG.
Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?
InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.