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Mainz 05 2-2 VfB Stuttgart: expected goals and shot map

Bundesliga · 7 Mar 2026 · Every shot from Mainz 05 2-2 VfB Stuttgart, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Mainz 05 generated the better chances, 2.87 xG to VfB Stuttgart's 1.11. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality29 shots
Mainz 05
 
VfB Stuttgart
2.87
Expected goals (xG)
1.11
2.41
On-target xG (xGOT)
1.42
18
Shots
11
6
On target
4
2
Big chances
1
39.0%
Possession
61.0%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Phillip Tietz · 36' · xG 0.02Chris Führich · 51' · xG 0.02Jeff Chabot · 18' · xG 0.02 · on targetPhillip Tietz · 75' · xG 0.03 · blockedJae-Sung Lee · 65' · xG 0.03Kaishu Sano · 50' · xG 0.04 · on targetNelson Weiper · 90' · xG 0.04 · blockedMaximilian Mittelstaedt · 4' · xG 0.04 · on targetErmedin Demirovic · 5' · xG 0.05Nikolas Nartey · 68' · xG 0.05Deniz Undav · 71' · xG 0.05 · blockedDanny da Costa · 89' · xG 0.06 · blockedErmedin Demirovic · 76' · xG 0.06 · GOALTiago Tomás · 86' · xG 0.06 · blockedPhillip Tietz · 65' · xG 0.08 · on targetNelson Weiper · 90' · xG 0.08Deniz Undav · 48' · xG 0.10 · blockedJamie Leweling · 24' · xG 0.11Paul Nebel · 26' · xG 0.12 · blockedPhillip Tietz · 63' · xG 0.13Paul Nebel · 66' · xG 0.13Phillipp Mwene · 32' · xG 0.14Phillipp Mwene · 90' · xG 0.22Jae-Sung Lee · 39' · xG 0.23 · GOALSheraldo Becker · 55' · xG 0.25 · on targetPhillip Tietz · 30' · xG 0.29 · on targetJae-Sung Lee · 38' · xG 0.35Deniz Undav · 77' · xG 0.54 · GOALDanny da Costa · 90' · xG 0.62 · GOAL
Mainz 05 VfB Stuttgart Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Mainz 05 attack right, VfB Stuttgart attack left. Mainz 05 took 2 from 2.87 xG, VfB Stuttgart managed 1.11 xG for 2.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.03.04.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.112.8739'76'77'90'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Mainz 05 2.87 xG, VfB Stuttgart 1.11 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart have?

Mainz 05 had 18 shots (6 on target) for 2.87 xG. VfB Stuttgart had 11 shots (4 on target) for 1.11 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

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