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Manchester United 3-1 Aston Villa: expected goals and shot map

English Premier League · 15 Mar 2026 · Every shot from Manchester United 3-1 Aston Villa, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Manchester United generated the better chances, 1.10 xG to Aston Villa's 1.01. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality25 shots
Manchester United
 
Aston Villa
1.10
Expected goals (xG)
1.01
2.21
On-target xG (xGOT)
0.99
16
Shots
9
6
On target
2
0
Big chances
1
52.0%
Possession
48.0%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Bruno Fernandes · 20' · xG 0.02 · blockedMorgan Rogers · 54' · xG 0.02 · blockedBruno Fernandes · 43' · xG 0.03Bruno Fernandes · 51' · xG 0.03 · blockedBryan Mbeumo · 35' · xG 0.03Morgan Rogers · 90' · xG 0.03Amad Diallo · 90' · xG 0.03 · blockedLeon Bailey · 63' · xG 0.04Amad Diallo · 22' · xG 0.04 · on targetMatheus Cunha · 51' · xG 0.04Casemiro · 37' · xG 0.04 · blockedAmad Diallo · 48' · xG 0.05Emiliano Buendia · 57' · xG 0.05 · blockedBryan Mbeumo · 52' · xG 0.05 · on targetDiogo Dalot · 62' · xG 0.06 · on targetJohn McGinn · 24' · xG 0.06Casemiro · 53' · xG 0.07 · GOALBenjamin Sesko · 81' · xG 0.08 · GOALDiogo Dalot · 38' · xG 0.11Ross Barkley · 64' · xG 0.11 · GOALEmiliano Buendia · 9' · xG 0.14Matheus Cunha · 71' · xG 0.18 · GOALAmadou Onana · 63' · xG 0.19 · on targetBenjamin Sesko · 85' · xG 0.24Tyrone Mings · 60' · xG 0.36
Manchester United Aston Villa Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Manchester United attack right, Aston Villa attack left. Manchester United took 3 from 1.10 xG, Aston Villa managed 1.01 xG for 1.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.011.1053'64'71'81'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Manchester United 1.10 xG, Aston Villa 1.01 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Manchester United and Aston Villa have?

Manchester United had 16 shots (6 on target) for 1.10 xG. Aston Villa had 9 shots (2 on target) for 1.01 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

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