InPlayWise
PredictionsShot maps › Manchester United v Burnley

Manchester United 3-2 Burnley: expected goals and shot map

English Premier League · 30 Aug 2025 · Every shot from Manchester United 3-2 Burnley, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Manchester United generated the better chances, 3.63 xG to Burnley's 1.25. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

See live win probability on InPlayWiseWe model every fixture before kick-off and live in-play, not just after. Free daily picks.
Expected goals & shot quality33 shots
Manchester United
 
Burnley
3.63
Expected goals (xG)
1.25
2.18
On-target xG (xGOT)
1.66
26
Shots
7
6
On target
4
3
Big chances
2
61.7%
Possession
38.3%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Josh Cullen · 27' · xG 0.00 · GOALBruno Fernandes · 45' · xG 0.02 · blockedBryan Mbeumo · 14' · xG 0.02 · on targetBruno Fernandes · 80' · xG 0.02 · blockedKobbie Mainoo · 63' · xG 0.02 · blockedMatheus Cunha · 5' · xG 0.03 · on targetAmad Diallo · 39' · xG 0.03 · blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · 48' · xG 0.03 · blockedJoshua Zirkzee · 45' · xG 0.04 · blockedJoshua Zirkzee · 82' · xG 0.04Kobbie Mainoo · 69' · xG 0.05Joshua Zirkzee · 45' · xG 0.06 · blockedMason Mount · 40' · xG 0.06Joshua Zirkzee · 75' · xG 0.07Bryan Mbeumo · 15' · xG 0.08Leny Yoro · 22' · xG 0.09Benjamin Sesko · 87' · xG 0.09Amad Diallo · 45' · xG 0.09 · on targetQuilindschy Hartman · 45' · xG 0.09 · blockedBruno Fernandes · 63' · xG 0.10Matthijs de Ligt · 45' · xG 0.10 · blockedJoshua Zirkzee · 49' · xG 0.10Hannibal Mejbri · 37' · xG 0.11Loum Tchaouna · 66' · xG 0.13 · on targetCasemiro · 27' · xG 0.13Joshua Zirkzee · 45' · xG 0.14Benjamin Sesko · 86' · xG 0.18Joshua Zirkzee · 45' · xG 0.20 · on targetJaidon Anthony · 66' · xG 0.38 · GOALAmad Diallo · 45' · xG 0.50Lyle Foster · 55' · xG 0.51 · GOALBryan Mbeumo · 57' · xG 0.56 · GOALBruno Fernandes · 90' · xG 0.79 · GOAL
Manchester United Burnley Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Manchester United attack right, Burnley attack left. Manchester United took 3 from 3.63 xG, Burnley managed 1.25 xG for 2.

Get shot-by-shot xG in-playWatch expected goals build live on the platform, with our model's single call on every match.
The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.03.04.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.253.6327'55'57'66'90'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Manchester United 3.63 xG, Burnley 1.25 xG.

This match, before it happens

This page is the shot map of a game that has finished. On InPlayWise you get the same depth on the fixtures still to come, and live while they play:

  • Live win probability for every fixture, moving in-play
  • Our single free call on each match, with the best price
  • Expected goals and momentum as they build, minute by minute
  • Every market: goals, both teams to score, corners, cards
  • A public track record, every call settled, wins and losses
Open InPlayWise freeFree daily picks, no card needed. 18+, information only.

How our published calls have settled

Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.

More English Premier League shot maps

More

Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Manchester United and Burnley have?

Manchester United had 26 shots (6 on target) for 3.63 xG. Burnley had 7 shots (4 on target) for 1.25 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.

See the full track recordEvery call we make is settled and published, wins and losses together.