Millwall 1-0 Derby County: expected goals and shot map
English Football League Championship · 10 Mar 2026 · Every shot from Millwall 1-0 Derby County, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Millwall generated the better chances, 1.68 xG to Derby County's 1.25. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.
Millwall attack right, Derby County attack left. Millwall took 1 from 1.68 xG, Derby County managed 1.25 xG for 0.
Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Millwall 1.68 xG, Derby County 1.25 xG.
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Questions
What is expected goals (xG)?
Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.
What is xGOT?
Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.
How many shots did Millwall and Derby County have?
Millwall had 15 shots (4 on target) for 1.68 xG. Derby County had 14 shots (1 on target) for 1.25 xG.
Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?
InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.