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NAC Breda 2-2 FC Twente: expected goals and shot map

Netherlands Eredivisie · 30 Jan 2026 · Every shot from NAC Breda 2-2 FC Twente, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). FC Twente generated the better chances, 1.57 xG to NAC Breda's 1.32. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality38 shots
NAC Breda
 
FC Twente
1.32
Expected goals (xG)
1.57
1.74
On-target xG (xGOT)
3.87
20
Shots
18
10
On target
9
0
Big chances
0
62.2%
Possession
37.8%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Charles-Andreas Brym · 29' · xG 0.01 · on targetLeo Greiml · 38' · xG 0.01 · on targetMoussa Soumano · 87' · xG 0.02 · GOALLeo Greiml · 54' · xG 0.02 · on targetKamal Sowah · 74' · xG 0.02 · blockedLewis Holtby · 16' · xG 0.02Sondre Ørjasæter · 60' · xG 0.02Juho Talvitie · 73' · xG 0.02 · blockedMoussa Soumano · 45' · xG 0.02 · blockedMoussa Soumano · 90' · xG 0.02Rio Hillen · 38' · xG 0.02Juho Talvitie · 90' · xG 0.02 · blockedThomas van den Belt · 45' · xG 0.03 · blockedMoussa Soumano · 59' · xG 0.03 · on targetThomas van den Belt · 55' · xG 0.04 · on targetSondre Ørjasæter · 45' · xG 0.05 · blockedKamal Sowah · 67' · xG 0.05Charles-Andreas Brym · 87' · xG 0.05 · on targetThomas van den Belt · 35' · xG 0.05 · on targetMats Rots · 41' · xG 0.06 · GOALDaan Rots · 40' · xG 0.07 · on targetKristian Hlynsson · 76' · xG 0.07 · on targetMats Rots · 64' · xG 0.08 · on targetRicky van Wolfswinkel · 7' · xG 0.09 · on targetRicky van Wolfswinkel · 20' · xG 0.10Thomas van den Belt · 6' · xG 0.10 · blockedMats Rots · 12' · xG 0.11 · blockedCharles-Andreas Brym · 81' · xG 0.11 · on targetMarko Pjaca · 72' · xG 0.11Mats Rots · 46' · xG 0.12 · blockedCherrion Valerius · 58' · xG 0.13 · blockedDaan Rots · 2' · xG 0.13 · on targetCharles-Andreas Brym · 61' · xG 0.16 · GOALBoyd Lucassen · 90' · xG 0.16Ricky van Wolfswinkel · 51' · xG 0.16 · GOALMoussa Soumano · 67' · xG 0.18 · on targetKristian Hlynsson · 76' · xG 0.19 · blockedJayden Candelaria · 82' · xG 0.24 · on target
NAC Breda FC Twente Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

NAC Breda attack right, FC Twente attack left. NAC Breda took 2 from 1.32 xG, FC Twente managed 1.57 xG for 2.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.571.3241'51'61'87'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. NAC Breda 1.32 xG, FC Twente 1.57 xG.

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Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did NAC Breda and FC Twente have?

NAC Breda had 20 shots (10 on target) for 1.32 xG. FC Twente had 18 shots (9 on target) for 1.57 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.

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