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Preston North End 0-1 Birmingham City: expected goals and shot map

English Football League Championship · 21 Oct 2025 · Every shot from Preston North End 0-1 Birmingham City, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Preston North End generated the better chances, 1.38 xG to Birmingham City's 0.83. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality26 shots
Preston North End
 
Birmingham City
1.38
Expected goals (xG)
0.83
0.45
On-target xG (xGOT)
0.79
17
Shots
9
6
On target
2
0
Big chances
1
61.1%
Possession
38.9%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Michael Smith · 87' · xG 0.01Michael Smith · 76' · xG 0.02Michael Smith · 37' · xG 0.02Tomoki Iwata · 13' · xG 0.02 · blockedDaniel Jebbison · 59' · xG 0.03 · on targetMichael Smith · 74' · xG 0.03Keshi Anderson · 58' · xG 0.03Jay Stansfield · 61' · xG 0.03Thierry Small · 78' · xG 0.03 · blockedBen Whiteman · 43' · xG 0.04 · on targetDaniel Jebbison · 17' · xG 0.04Demarai Gray · 77' · xG 0.05Ben Whiteman · 45' · xG 0.06 · blockedJay Stansfield · 20' · xG 0.07 · blockedMichael Smith · 83' · xG 0.07 · on targetJordan Storey · 42' · xG 0.08 · on targetMichael Smith · 15' · xG 0.09Tomoki Iwata · 62' · xG 0.09Daniel Jebbison · 30' · xG 0.10Tomoki Iwata · 89' · xG 0.11Lewis Koumas · 35' · xG 0.12 · on targetAlfie Devine · 67' · xG 0.12 · blockedLewis Dobbin · 86' · xG 0.16 · on targetAlistair McCann · 24' · xG 0.23Daniel Jebbison · 69' · xG 0.29 · on targetPhil Neumann · 33' · xG 0.32 · GOAL
Preston North End Birmingham City Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Preston North End attack right, Birmingham City attack left. Preston North End took 0 from 1.38 xG, Birmingham City managed 0.83 xG for 1.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.015'30'45'60'75'90'0.831.3833'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Preston North End 1.38 xG, Birmingham City 0.83 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Preston North End and Birmingham City have?

Preston North End had 17 shots (6 on target) for 1.38 xG. Birmingham City had 9 shots (2 on target) for 0.83 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

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