InPlayWise
PredictionsShot maps › PSV Eindhoven v Heracles

PSV Eindhoven 4-3 Heracles: expected goals and shot map

Netherlands Eredivisie · 13 Dec 2025 · Every shot from PSV Eindhoven 4-3 Heracles, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). PSV Eindhoven generated the better chances, 3.27 xG to Heracles's 2.84. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

See live win probability on InPlayWiseWe model every fixture before kick-off and live in-play, not just after. Free daily picks.
Expected goals & shot quality32 shots
PSV Eindhoven
 
Heracles
3.27
Expected goals (xG)
2.84
2.46
On-target xG (xGOT)
3.32
21
Shots
11
6
On target
6
2
Big chances
3
65.6%
Possession
34.4%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Dennis Man · 54' · xG 0.01Dennis Man · 53' · xG 0.02 · blockedArmando Obispo · 31' · xG 0.03 · blockedAnass Salah-Eddine · 27' · xG 0.04 · blockedBryan Limbombe · 34' · xG 0.04Mario Engels · 85' · xG 0.04 · blockedGuus Til · 65' · xG 0.05Ricardo Pepi · 57' · xG 0.05 · on targetJerdy Schouten · 63' · xG 0.05Ivan Mesík · 46' · xG 0.05Sergiño Dest · 2' · xG 0.06Ricardo Pepi · 5' · xG 0.06 · blockedAlec Van Hoorenbeeck · 85' · xG 0.07 · blockedRicardo Pepi · 6' · xG 0.07Ivan Perisic · 90' · xG 0.07Joey Veerman · 30' · xG 0.08 · blockedJoey Veerman · 70' · xG 0.11 · GOALDennis Man · 51' · xG 0.12Armando Obispo · 30' · xG 0.13 · on targetLuka Kulenovic · 66' · xG 0.14 · on targetJoey Veerman · 30' · xG 0.16 · blockedDennis Man · 23' · xG 0.19Jizz Hornkamp · 66' · xG 0.19Mimeirhel Benita · 90' · xG 0.20 · on targetGuus Til · 81' · xG 0.20 · GOALRicardo Pepi · 38' · xG 0.20Mario Engels · 66' · xG 0.20 · on targetJizz Hornkamp · 73' · xG 0.47 · GOALLuka Kulenovic · 60' · xG 0.66 · GOALRicardo Pepi · 20' · xG 0.79 · GOALIsmael Saibari · 32' · xG 0.79 · GOALJizz Hornkamp · 45' · xG 0.79 · GOAL
PSV Eindhoven Heracles Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

PSV Eindhoven attack right, Heracles attack left. PSV Eindhoven took 4 from 3.27 xG, Heracles managed 2.84 xG for 3.

Get shot-by-shot xG in-playWatch expected goals build live on the platform, with our model's single call on every match.
The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.03.04.015'30'45'60'75'90'2.843.2720'32'45'60'70'73'81'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. PSV Eindhoven 3.27 xG, Heracles 2.84 xG.

This match, before it happens

This page is the shot map of a game that has finished. On InPlayWise you get the same depth on the fixtures still to come, and live while they play:

  • Live win probability for every fixture, moving in-play
  • Our single free call on each match, with the best price
  • Expected goals and momentum as they build, minute by minute
  • Every market: goals, both teams to score, corners, cards
  • A public track record, every call settled, wins and losses
Open InPlayWise freeFree daily picks, no card needed. 18+, information only.

How our published calls have settled

Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.

More Netherlands Eredivisie shot maps

More

Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did PSV Eindhoven and Heracles have?

PSV Eindhoven had 21 shots (6 on target) for 3.27 xG. Heracles had 11 shots (6 on target) for 2.84 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.

See the full track recordEvery call we make is settled and published, wins and losses together.