InPlayWise
PredictionsShot maps › Toulouse v Nantes

Toulouse 2-2 Nantes: expected goals and shot map

French Ligue 1 · 27 Sep 2025 · Every shot from Toulouse 2-2 Nantes, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Toulouse generated the better chances, 2.11 xG to Nantes's 1.31. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

See live win probability on InPlayWiseWe model every fixture before kick-off and live in-play, not just after. Free daily picks.
Expected goals & shot quality32 shots
Toulouse
 
Nantes
2.11
Expected goals (xG)
1.31
1.54
On-target xG (xGOT)
1.17
20
Shots
12
7
On target
2
1
Big chances
2
44.8%
Possession
55.2%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Abu Francis · 55' · xG 0.01Tylel Tati · 6' · xG 0.02 · blockedAbu Francis · 60' · xG 0.02 · blockedMayckel Lahdo · 7' · xG 0.02Matthis Abline · 45' · xG 0.02 · blockedMário Sauer · 90' · xG 0.02 · blockedFrank Magri · 12' · xG 0.02 · on targetDehmaine Tabibou · 16' · xG 0.02Abu Francis · 19' · xG 0.03 · blockedAmady Camara · 3' · xG 0.03 · blockedAron Dønnum · 24' · xG 0.03 · on targetRasmus Nicolaisen · 30' · xG 0.04Dehmaine Tabibou · 38' · xG 0.04Yassine Benhattab · 70' · xG 0.04 · blockedAron Dønnum · 15' · xG 0.05 · blockedWarren Kamanzi · 19' · xG 0.05 · on targetFrank Magri · 78' · xG 0.05Hyun-Seok Hong · 74' · xG 0.06 · blockedDjibril Sidibé · 39' · xG 0.06Frank Magri · 76' · xG 0.07Rasmus Nicolaisen · 30' · xG 0.07 · on targetRasmus Nicolaisen · 90' · xG 0.08Emersonn · 32' · xG 0.10Charlie Cresswell · 30' · xG 0.11 · on targetWarren Kamanzi · 66' · xG 0.13 · blockedLouis Leroux · 61' · xG 0.15 · GOALYann Gboho · 47' · xG 0.16 · GOALAmady Camara · 45' · xG 0.19 · blockedAron Dønnum · 64' · xG 0.22Mayckel Lahdo · 45' · xG 0.32 · GOALBahereba Guirassy · 90' · xG 0.41Aron Dønnum · 68' · xG 0.79 · GOAL
Toulouse Nantes Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Toulouse attack right, Nantes attack left. Toulouse took 2 from 2.11 xG, Nantes managed 1.31 xG for 2.

Get shot-by-shot xG in-playWatch expected goals build live on the platform, with our model's single call on every match.
The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.03.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.312.1145'47'61'68'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Toulouse 2.11 xG, Nantes 1.31 xG.

This match, before it happens

This page is the shot map of a game that has finished. On InPlayWise you get the same depth on the fixtures still to come, and live while they play:

  • Live win probability for every fixture, moving in-play
  • Our single free call on each match, with the best price
  • Expected goals and momentum as they build, minute by minute
  • Every market: goals, both teams to score, corners, cards
  • A public track record, every call settled, wins and losses
Open InPlayWise freeFree daily picks, no card needed. 18+, information only.

How our published calls have settled

Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.

More French Ligue 1 shot maps

More

Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Toulouse and Nantes have?

Toulouse had 20 shots (7 on target) for 2.11 xG. Nantes had 12 shots (2 on target) for 1.31 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

InPlayWise carries live win probability, in-play expected goals, our model's single call and every market for the fixtures still to come, with a public settled track record. 18+.

See the full track recordEvery call we make is settled and published, wins and losses together.