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VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Mainz 05: expected goals and shot map

Bundesliga · 26 Oct 2025 · Every shot from VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Mainz 05, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). VfB Stuttgart generated the better chances, 1.94 xG to Mainz 05's 1.39. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality32 shots
VfB Stuttgart
 
Mainz 05
1.94
Expected goals (xG)
1.39
2.25
On-target xG (xGOT)
1.00
19
Shots
13
8
On target
2
1
Big chances
1
58.4%
Possession
41.6%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Danny da Costa · 90' · xG 0.01 · blockedFinn Jeltsch · 60' · xG 0.01 · blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 10' · xG 0.01 · blockedDeniz Undav · 90' · xG 0.02 · on targetNadiem Amiri · 27' · xG 0.02 · blockedNadiem Amiri · 90' · xG 0.02Josha Vagnoman · 81' · xG 0.02Silvan Widmer · 20' · xG 0.02Chris Führich · 45' · xG 0.02 · GOALJamie Leweling · 71' · xG 0.02 · blockedDan-Axel Zagadou · 45' · xG 0.03 · on targetBilal El Khannouss · 75' · xG 0.03 · on targetDanny da Costa · 55' · xG 0.03 · on targetChris Führich · 36' · xG 0.04 · blockedNikolas Veratschnig · 90' · xG 0.04Lorenz Assignon · 65' · xG 0.05Phillipp Mwene · 27' · xG 0.05Dan-Axel Zagadou · 71' · xG 0.05Armindo Sieb · 90' · xG 0.06Armindo Sieb · 90' · xG 0.06 · blockedNikolas Nartey · 46' · xG 0.06 · blockedAmeen Al Dakhil · 71' · xG 0.06Jamie Leweling · 13' · xG 0.08 · on targetDanny da Costa · 23' · xG 0.08Pascal Stenzel · 46' · xG 0.09 · on targetDan-Axel Zagadou · 37' · xG 0.14Jamie Leweling · 64' · xG 0.18 · blockedJae-Sung Lee · 5' · xG 0.18Pascal Stenzel · 34' · xG 0.20Deniz Undav · 19' · xG 0.29 · on targetDeniz Undav · 79' · xG 0.53 · GOALNadiem Amiri · 41' · xG 0.79 · GOAL
VfB Stuttgart Mainz 05 Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

VfB Stuttgart attack right, Mainz 05 attack left. VfB Stuttgart took 2 from 1.94 xG, Mainz 05 managed 1.39 xG for 1.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.03.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.391.9441'45'79'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. VfB Stuttgart 1.94 xG, Mainz 05 1.39 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did VfB Stuttgart and Mainz 05 have?

VfB Stuttgart had 19 shots (8 on target) for 1.94 xG. Mainz 05 had 13 shots (2 on target) for 1.39 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

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