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Watford 2-1 Oxford United: expected goals and shot map

English Football League Championship · 4 Oct 2025 · Every shot from Watford 2-1 Oxford United, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Watford generated the better chances, 2.65 xG to Oxford United's 1.38. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality43 shots
Watford
 
Oxford United
2.65
Expected goals (xG)
1.38
3.69
On-target xG (xGOT)
1.61
28
Shots
15
11
On target
5
1
Big chances
1
56.3%
Possession
43.7%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Max Alleyne · 3' · xG 0.00 · GOALJeremy Ngakia · 45' · xG 0.01 · GOALJeremy Ngakia · 15' · xG 0.02 · blockedRocco Vata · 11' · xG 0.02 · on targetRocco Vata · 21' · xG 0.02Przemyslaw Placheta · 59' · xG 0.02Vivaldo Semedo · 17' · xG 0.02Kwadwo Baah · 89' · xG 0.03 · on targetPrzemyslaw Placheta · 68' · xG 0.03 · on targetJeremy Ngakia · 80' · xG 0.03Cameron Brannagan · 82' · xG 0.03 · blockedNestory Irankunda · 45' · xG 0.04 · blockedNestory Irankunda · 26' · xG 0.04 · blockedNestory Irankunda · 16' · xG 0.04Edo Kayembe · 75' · xG 0.04Mark Harris · 90' · xG 0.04 · on targetPrzemyslaw Placheta · 65' · xG 0.04 · on targetRocco Vata · 45' · xG 0.05 · blockedWill Lankshear · 8' · xG 0.05 · on targetSiriki Dembélé · 77' · xG 0.05 · blockedNik Prelec · 58' · xG 0.06 · on targetKwadwo Baah · 90' · xG 0.06 · on targetRocco Vata · 46' · xG 0.06Imran Louza · 6' · xG 0.06Nampalys Mendy · 41' · xG 0.06 · blockedStanley Mills · 55' · xG 0.07Imran Louza · 56' · xG 0.07Imran Louza · 33' · xG 0.08Cameron Brannagan · 40' · xG 0.08Rocco Vata · 60' · xG 0.08Nestory Irankunda · 12' · xG 0.09Rocco Vata · 59' · xG 0.10 · on targetBrian De Keersmaecker · 40' · xG 0.10 · blockedVivaldo Semedo · 26' · xG 0.10 · on targetGregory Leigh · 69' · xG 0.11Luca Kjerrumgaard · 79' · xG 0.13 · on targetTom Bradshaw · 86' · xG 0.14Michal Helik · 30' · xG 0.15 · blockedRocco Vata · 56' · xG 0.18 · on targetNestory Irankunda · 56' · xG 0.25 · on targetVivaldo Semedo · 12' · xG 0.26Przemyslaw Placheta · 74' · xG 0.40Jeremy Ngakia · 45' · xG 0.74 · GOAL
Watford Oxford United Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Watford attack right, Oxford United attack left. Watford took 2 from 2.65 xG, Oxford United managed 1.38 xG for 1.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.03.015'30'45'60'75'90'1.382.653'45'45'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Watford 2.65 xG, Oxford United 1.38 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Watford and Oxford United have?

Watford had 28 shots (11 on target) for 2.65 xG. Oxford United had 15 shots (5 on target) for 1.38 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

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