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Wrexham 2-2 Watford: expected goals and shot map

English Football League Championship · 13 Dec 2025 · Every shot from Wrexham 2-2 Watford, placed on the pitch and sized by expected goals (xG). Wrexham generated the better chances, 1.20 xG to Watford's 0.89. The running xG race and post-shot quality (xGOT) are below.

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Expected goals & shot quality28 shots
Wrexham
 
Watford
1.20
Expected goals (xG)
0.89
0.95
On-target xG (xGOT)
0.66
16
Shots
12
3
On target
3
0
Big chances
0
52.3%
Possession
47.7%
Shot mapdot size = chance quality (xG)
Kieffer Moore · 69' · xG 0.02Josh Windass · 76' · xG 0.02 · blockedOliver Rathbone · 90' · xG 0.03 · GOALLuca Kjerrumgaard · 42' · xG 0.03 · blockedMax Cleworth · 6' · xG 0.03Vivaldo Semedo · 80' · xG 0.03Ryan Hardie · 90' · xG 0.04Josh Windass · 14' · xG 0.04Dominic Hyam · 45' · xG 0.04 · blockedJosh Windass · 75' · xG 0.04 · blockedLuca Kjerrumgaard · 52' · xG 0.04 · on targetMamadou Doumbia · 30' · xG 0.05 · GOALGeorge Dobson · 45' · xG 0.05 · blockedOthmane Maamma · 48' · xG 0.05Ryan Hardie · 84' · xG 0.05 · blockedImran Louza · 25' · xG 0.06 · blockedJosh Windass · 77' · xG 0.06 · on targetLuca Kjerrumgaard · 20' · xG 0.06Marc Bola · 42' · xG 0.08 · blockedMamadou Doumbia · 52' · xG 0.08 · blockedMatthew Pollock · 90' · xG 0.09 · blockedMamadou Doumbia · 90' · xG 0.10 · blockedRyan Longman · 65' · xG 0.10Lewis O'Brien · 45' · xG 0.11Josh Windass · 21' · xG 0.14 · GOALLewis O'Brien · 45' · xG 0.17Othmane Maamma · 42' · xG 0.23 · GOALCallum Doyle · 45' · xG 0.25
Wrexham Watford Goal Off target / blockedLarger dot = higher xG

Wrexham attack right, Watford attack left. Wrexham took 2 from 1.20 xG, Watford managed 0.89 xG for 2.

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The xG racecumulative xG by minute
0.01.02.015'30'45'60'75'90'0.891.2021'30'42'90'

Cumulative expected goals. White markers are goals. Wrexham 1.20 xG, Watford 0.89 xG.

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Questions

What is expected goals (xG)?

Expected goals scores every shot by the chance it had of being a goal, from 0 to 1, based on where and how it was taken. Add a team's shots up and you get the goals an average team would expect from those chances, often a fairer read of a match than the final score. InPlayWise tracks xG live for every game.

What is xGOT?

Post-shot expected goals (xGOT) scores only shots on target, by how hard they were to save once struck. It separates the quality of the chance from the quality of the finish and the save.

How many shots did Wrexham and Watford have?

Wrexham had 16 shots (3 on target) for 1.20 xG. Watford had 12 shots (3 on target) for 0.89 xG.

Where can I get this live for upcoming matches?

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