Club Atletico Progreso
V
CA River Plate Montevideo
Uruguay Cup · 26 Aug 2026 · kick-off 18:00 UTC. Team ratings, measured form patterns and the market’s view, with the record of how our own calls have actually settled.
The rating is built from results only, every finished match replayed in order, where beating a stronger side moves it further. It is not a probability, and a gap of ten points does not mean ten per cent more likely.
What the bookmakers make it
| Outcome | Implied | |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Progreso win | 38.1% | |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| CA River Plate Montevideo win | 32.7% |
| Double chance | Implied |
|---|---|
| Club Atletico Progreso or draw | 67.3% |
| Either team to win | 70.8% |
| CA River Plate Montevideo or draw | 61.9% |
These are the bookmakers’ prices with the margin removed, taken as a median across the books we hold, not an InPlayWise model output. They are shown so you can see what the market expects, and they move as prices move.
Form patterns
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Faced a stronger-rated side, 19 of last 19 | Schedule difficulty (rating-based) | 19/19 |
| Scored the first goal, 1 of last 20 | To score first | 1/20 |
| Lost the match, 15 of last 20 | Opp to win | 15/20 |
| Avoided defeat, 5 of last 20 | Double chance | 5/20 |
| Decided by a single goal, 14 of last 20 | Tight game | 14/20 |
| Over 3.5 goals, 1 of last 20 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/20 |
| Scored first and went on to win, 1 of last 20 | To score first + win | 1/20 |
| Conceded in the first half, 14 of last 20 | 1st-half BTTS | 14/20 |
| Fell behind first, 14 of last 20 | Opp to score first | 14/20 |
| Scored 2+ goals, 4 of last 20 | Team over 1.5 | 4/20 |
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Faced a stronger-rated side, 17 of last 19 | Schedule difficulty (rating-based) | 17/19 |
| Fell behind first, 3 of last 20 | Opp to score first | 3/20 |
| Scored in the first half, 13 of last 20 | 1st-half over 0.5 | 13/20 |
| Scored in the second half, 7 of last 20 | 2nd-half over 0.5 | 7/20 |
| Beat stronger-rated sides, 9 of 17 | Giant-killing / value angle | 9/17 |
| Won the second half, 3 of last 20 | 2nd-half result | 3/20 |
| Shock result in a lopsided match-up, 3 of 8 | Upset watch (rating-based) | 3/8 |
| Trailed at half-time, 2 of last 20 | HT behind | 2/20 |
| Conceded in the last 10 minutes, 8 of last 20 | Late wobble | 8/20 |
| Scored in 2 straight | To score | 2/20 |
Each line counts how often something has actually happened over the window shown. A pattern is a description of the past, not a forecast of this match.
How our calls have settled
Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.
More
Questions
When do Club Atletico Progreso and CA River Plate Montevideo play?
Club Atletico Progreso play CA River Plate Montevideo on 26 Aug 2026.
Does InPlayWise predict Club Atletico Progreso vs CA River Plate Montevideo?
Our live calls for this match are made and settled inside the platform. This page shows the measured form, the team ratings and the bookmakers' implied chances, plus our published record of how calls have actually settled. 18+, information only.