Lyon
V
Fenerbahce
UEFA Champions League · 26 Aug 2026 · kick-off 19:00 UTC. Team ratings, measured form patterns and the market’s view, with the record of how our own calls have actually settled.
The rating is built from results only, every finished match replayed in order, where beating a stronger side moves it further. It is not a probability, and a gap of ten points does not mean ten per cent more likely.
What the bookmakers make it
| Outcome | Implied | |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon win | 48.2% | |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Fenerbahce win | 25.7% |
| Double chance | Implied |
|---|---|
| Lyon or draw | 74.3% |
| Either team to win | 73.9% |
| Fenerbahce or draw | 51.8% |
These are the bookmakers’ prices with the margin removed, taken as a median across the books we hold, not an InPlayWise model output. They are shown so you can see what the market expects, and they move as prices move.
Form patterns
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Faced a stronger-rated side, 2 of last 20 | Schedule difficulty (rating-based) | 2/20 |
| Fell behind first, 6 of last 20 | Opp to score first | 6/20 |
| Scored in 3 straight | To score | 3/20 |
| Scored 1st-half in 3 straight | 1st-half over 0.5 | 3/20 |
| Unbeaten in 2 straight | Double chance | 2/20 |
| Conceded 2+ goals, 11 of last 20 | Opp over 1.5 | 11/20 |
| Conceded in the second half, 13 of last 20 | 2nd-half BTTS | 13/20 |
| Beat weaker-rated sides, 7 of 14 | Favourite reliability | 7/14 |
| Scored after the 75th, 2 of last 20 | Late goal / 2H over | 2/20 |
| Shock result in a lopsided match-up, 2 of 7 | Upset watch (rating-based) | 2/7 |
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Scored in 12 straight | To score | 12/20 |
| Faced a stronger-rated side, 1 of last 20 | Schedule difficulty (rating-based) | 1/20 |
| Fell behind first, 6 of last 20 | Opp to score first | 6/20 |
| Conceded in the second half, 7 of last 20 | 2nd-half BTTS | 7/20 |
| Won the match, 12 of last 20 | To win | 12/20 |
| Failed to win, 8 of last 20 | Opp double chance | 8/20 |
| Lost the match, 4 of last 20 | Opp to win | 4/20 |
| Avoided defeat, 16 of last 20 | Double chance | 16/20 |
| Won the second half, 11 of last 20 | 2nd-half result | 11/20 |
| Scored in the first half, 12 of last 20 | 1st-half over 0.5 | 12/20 |
Each line counts how often something has actually happened over the window shown. A pattern is a description of the past, not a forecast of this match.
How our calls have settled
Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.
More
Questions
When do Lyon and Fenerbahce play?
Lyon play Fenerbahce on 26 Aug 2026.
Does InPlayWise predict Lyon vs Fenerbahce?
Our live calls for this match are made and settled inside the platform. This page shows the measured form, the team ratings and the bookmakers' implied chances, plus our published record of how calls have actually settled. 18+, information only.