Marathon
V
Real Esteli
CONCACAF Central American Cup · 27 Aug 2026 · kick-off 00:30 UTC. Team ratings, measured form patterns and the market’s view, with the record of how our own calls have actually settled.
The rating is built from results only, every finished match replayed in order, where beating a stronger side moves it further. It is not a probability, and a gap of ten points does not mean ten per cent more likely.
What the bookmakers make it
| Outcome | Implied | |
|---|---|---|
| Marathon win | 40.9% | |
| Draw | 31.8% | |
| Real Esteli win | 27.3% |
| Double chance | Implied |
|---|---|
| Marathon or draw | 72.7% |
| Either team to win | 68.2% |
| Real Esteli or draw | 59.1% |
These are the bookmakers’ prices with the margin removed, taken as a median across the books we hold, not an InPlayWise model output. They are shown so you can see what the market expects, and they move as prices move.
Form patterns
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals, 3 of last 20 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/20 |
| Under 2.5 goals, 17 of last 20 | Under 2.5 goals | 17/20 |
| Scored in the second half, 4 of last 20 | 2nd-half over 0.5 | 4/20 |
| Scored 2+ goals, 2 of last 20 | Team over 1.5 | 2/20 |
| Over 3.5 goals, 1 of last 20 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/20 |
| A goal after the 80th minute, 3 of 17 | Late goals / drama | 3/17 |
| Both teams scored, 6 of last 20 | BTTS, yes | 6/20 |
| Faced a stronger-rated side, 12 of last 19 | Schedule difficulty (rating-based) | 12/19 |
| 2+ goals in the first half, 3 of last 20 | 1st-half over 1.5 | 3/20 |
| Conceded in the first half, 5 of last 20 | 1st-half BTTS | 5/20 |
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Faced a stronger-rated side, 0 of last 20 | Schedule difficulty (rating-based) | 0/20 |
| Conceded in the second half, 5 of last 20 | 2nd-half BTTS | 5/20 |
| Conceded 2+ goals, 3 of last 20 | Opp over 1.5 | 3/20 |
| Lost the match, 3 of last 20 | Opp to win | 3/20 |
| Avoided defeat, 17 of last 20 | Double chance | 17/20 |
| Fell behind first, 6 of last 20 | Opp to score first | 6/20 |
| No clean sheet in 3 straight | BTTS, yes | 3/20 |
| Won the match, 12 of last 20 | To win | 12/20 |
| Failed to win, 8 of last 20 | Opp double chance | 8/20 |
| Won the second half, 11 of last 20 | 2nd-half result | 11/20 |
Each line counts how often something has actually happened over the window shown. A pattern is a description of the past, not a forecast of this match.
How our calls have settled
Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.
More
Questions
When do Marathon and Real Esteli play?
Marathon play Real Esteli on 27 Aug 2026.
Does InPlayWise predict Marathon vs Real Esteli?
Our live calls for this match are made and settled inside the platform. This page shows the measured form, the team ratings and the bookmakers' implied chances, plus our published record of how calls have actually settled. 18+, information only.