New Mexico United
V
Lexington
USL Championship (United States) · 27 Aug 2026 · kick-off 01:30 UTC. Team ratings, measured form patterns and the market’s view, with the record of how our own calls have actually settled.
The rating is built from results only, every finished match replayed in order, where beating a stronger side moves it further. It is not a probability, and a gap of ten points does not mean ten per cent more likely.
What the bookmakers make it
| Outcome | Implied | |
|---|---|---|
| New Mexico United win | 35.4% | |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Lexington win | 37.0% |
| Double chance | Implied |
|---|---|
| New Mexico United or draw | 63.0% |
| Either team to win | 72.5% |
| Lexington or draw | 64.6% |
These are the bookmakers’ prices with the margin removed, taken as a median across the books we hold, not an InPlayWise model output. They are shown so you can see what the market expects, and they move as prices move.
Form patterns
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Fell behind first, 1 of last 20 | Opp to score first | 1/20 |
| Scored in 13 straight | To score | 13/20 |
| Won 6 straight | To win | 6/20 |
| Unbeaten in 6 straight | Double chance | 6/20 |
| Beat weaker-rated sides, 6 of 6 | Favourite reliability | 6/6 |
| Conceded in the second half, 5 of last 20 | 2nd-half BTTS | 5/20 |
| Conceded 2+ goals, 3 of last 20 | Opp over 1.5 | 3/20 |
| Over 2.5 goals, 7 of last 20 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/20 |
| Under 2.5 goals, 13 of last 20 | Under 2.5 goals | 13/20 |
| Both teams scored, 6 of last 20 | BTTS, yes | 6/20 |
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Beat weaker-rated sides, 5 of 5 | Favourite reliability | 5/5 |
| Scored in the second half, 16 of last 20 | 2nd-half over 0.5 | 16/20 |
| Fell behind first, 6 of last 20 | Opp to score first | 6/20 |
| Both teams scored, 13 of last 20 | BTTS, yes | 13/20 |
| Over 3.5 goals, 11 of last 20 | Over 3.5 goals | 11/20 |
| Scored 2+ in the first half, 7 of last 20 | 1st-half over 1.5 | 7/20 |
| Decided by a single goal, 4 of last 20 | Tight game | 4/20 |
| Scored late in the first half, 8 of last 20 | Goal before the break | 8/20 |
| Won by 2+ goals, 8 of last 20 | −1.5 handicap | 8/20 |
| Scored 2+ goals, 11 of last 20 | Team over 1.5 | 11/20 |
Each line counts how often something has actually happened over the window shown. A pattern is a description of the past, not a forecast of this match.
How our calls have settled
Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.
More
Questions
When do New Mexico United and Lexington play?
New Mexico United play Lexington on 27 Aug 2026.
Does InPlayWise predict New Mexico United vs Lexington?
Our live calls for this match are made and settled inside the platform. This page shows the measured form, the team ratings and the bookmakers' implied chances, plus our published record of how calls have actually settled. 18+, information only.