Palmeiras
V
Santos
Brazilian Cup · 27 Aug 2026 · kick-off 00:30 UTC. Team ratings, measured form patterns and the market’s view, with the record of how our own calls have actually settled.
The rating is built from results only, every finished match replayed in order, where beating a stronger side moves it further. It is not a probability, and a gap of ten points does not mean ten per cent more likely.
What the bookmakers make it
| Outcome | Implied | |
|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras win | 60.7% | |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Santos win | 15.3% |
| Double chance | Implied |
|---|---|
| Palmeiras or draw | 84.7% |
| Either team to win | 76.0% |
| Santos or draw | 39.3% |
These are the bookmakers’ prices with the margin removed, taken as a median across the books we hold, not an InPlayWise model output. They are shown so you can see what the market expects, and they move as prices move.
Form patterns
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Faced a stronger-rated side, 0 of last 19 | Schedule difficulty (rating-based) | 0/19 |
| Fell behind first, 4 of last 20 | Opp to score first | 4/20 |
| Conceded 2+ goals, 3 of last 20 | Opp over 1.5 | 3/20 |
| Won the game after a defeat, 3 of 4 | Bounce-back / to win | 3/4 |
| Scored in the first half, 13 of last 20 | 1st-half over 0.5 | 13/20 |
| Trailed at half-time, 1 of last 20 | HT behind | 1/20 |
| Conceded in the second half, 7 of last 20 | 2nd-half BTTS | 7/20 |
| Scored in 3 straight | To score | 3/20 |
| Lost the match, 4 of last 20 | Opp to win | 4/20 |
| Avoided defeat, 16 of last 20 | Double chance | 16/20 |
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Fell behind first, 5 of last 20 | Opp to score first | 5/20 |
| Unbeaten in 4 straight | Double chance | 4/20 |
| Won the game after a defeat, 3 of 4 | Bounce-back / to win | 3/4 |
| Lost the match, 4 of last 20 | Opp to win | 4/20 |
| Avoided defeat, 16 of last 20 | Double chance | 16/20 |
| Scored 2+ goals, 12 of last 20 | Team over 1.5 | 12/20 |
| Scored the first goal, 7 of last 20 | To score first | 7/20 |
| Beat stronger-rated sides, 3 of 6 | Giant-killing / value angle | 3/6 |
| Conceded in the second half, 8 of last 20 | 2nd-half BTTS | 8/20 |
| Decided by a single goal, 4 of last 20 | Tight game | 4/20 |
Each line counts how often something has actually happened over the window shown. A pattern is a description of the past, not a forecast of this match.
How our calls have settled
Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.
More
Questions
When do Palmeiras and Santos play?
Palmeiras play Santos on 27 Aug 2026.
Does InPlayWise predict Palmeiras vs Santos?
Our live calls for this match are made and settled inside the platform. This page shows the measured form, the team ratings and the bookmakers' implied chances, plus our published record of how calls have actually settled. 18+, information only.