Toluca
V
Austin FC
Leagues Cup · 27 Aug 2026 · kick-off 00:30 UTC. Team ratings, measured form patterns and the market’s view, with the record of how our own calls have actually settled.
The rating is built from results only, every finished match replayed in order, where beating a stronger side moves it further. It is not a probability, and a gap of ten points does not mean ten per cent more likely.
What the bookmakers make it
| Outcome | Implied | |
|---|---|---|
| Toluca win | 62.4% | |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| Austin FC win | 15.7% |
| Double chance | Implied |
|---|---|
| Toluca or draw | 84.3% |
| Either team to win | 78.1% |
| Austin FC or draw | 37.6% |
These are the bookmakers’ prices with the margin removed, taken as a median across the books we hold, not an InPlayWise model output. They are shown so you can see what the market expects, and they move as prices move.
Form patterns
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Faced a stronger-rated side, 0 of last 18 | Schedule difficulty (rating-based) | 0/18 |
| Shock result in a lopsided match-up, 5 of 8 | Upset watch (rating-based) | 5/8 |
| Fell behind first, 6 of last 20 | Opp to score first | 6/20 |
| Scored 3+ goals, 10 of last 20 | Team over 2.5 | 10/20 |
| Unbeaten in 3 straight | Double chance | 3/20 |
| Scored 2+ goals, 12 of last 20 | Team over 1.5 | 12/20 |
| Beat weaker-rated sides, 8 of 18 | Favourite reliability | 8/18 |
| Won the game after a defeat, 5 of 9 | Bounce-back / to win | 5/9 |
| Scored after the 75th, 8 of last 20 | Late goal / 2H over | 8/20 |
| Over 3.5 goals, 10 of last 20 | Over 3.5 goals | 10/20 |
| Pattern | Market | Hit |
|---|---|---|
| Scored in 5 straight | To score | 5/20 |
| Over 2.5 goals in 4 straight | Over 2.5 goals | 4/20 |
| Fell behind first, 6 of last 20 | Opp to score first | 6/20 |
| Both teams scored in 3 straight | BTTS, yes | 3/20 |
| No clean sheet in 3 straight | BTTS, yes | 3/20 |
| A goal after the 80th minute, 8 of 13 | Late goals / drama | 8/13 |
| Over 2.5 goals, 15 of last 20 | Over 2.5 goals | 15/20 |
| Under 2.5 goals, 5 of last 20 | Under 2.5 goals | 5/20 |
| Conceded 2+ goals, 11 of last 20 | Opp over 1.5 | 11/20 |
| Scored the first goal, 8 of last 20 | To score first | 8/20 |
Each line counts how often something has actually happened over the window shown. A pattern is a description of the past, not a forecast of this match.
How our calls have settled
Verified record: 72.6% · 9612/13233 settled calls · loss-inclusive. See the full track record →
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+.
More
Questions
When do Toluca and Austin FC play?
Toluca play Austin FC on 27 Aug 2026.
Does InPlayWise predict Toluca vs Austin FC?
Our live calls for this match are made and settled inside the platform. This page shows the measured form, the team ratings and the bookmakers' implied chances, plus our published record of how calls have actually settled. 18+, information only.