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Every kick-off, and how our calls did

Every match of the day by hour, which of them we called, and how those calls finished. Open an hour for its fixtures.

landedmissedrunningnot settlednot startedToday148 fixtures on this day
The day
148fixtures
50we price
Busiest hour
18:0057 kick-offs
12am · 6 games
Grenada v Bonaire · Guatemala v Suriname · Dep.Independiente Medellin v Independiente Santa Fe · +2 more · +1 we hold a result for but not the fixture
1am · 2 games
Arnett Gardens v Portmore United · Sporting San Miguelito v Union Cocle
2am · 2 games
Australia U23 v South Korea U23 · Honduras v Jamaica
3am · 0 games4am · 0 games5am · 0 games6am · 0 games7am · 12 games
Changchun XIdu Football Club v Guangzhou Anhua · Chongqing Handa v Guangdong Wuchuan Youth · Xinjiang Bingchao v Qingdao Fuli · +9 more
8am · 1 game
Lam Dong v Song Lam Nghe An
9am · 4 games
Poland U18 v Uruguay U18 · Belgium U18 v Sweden U18 · Hubei Istar v Rizhao Yuqi Football Club · +1 more
10am · 1 game
Uniao Leiria U23 v Santa Clara U23
11am · 16 games
Wuxi Wugou v Suzhou Dongwu · Kirklarelispor v Bayburt Spor Kulubu · Bitlis 1916 v Silifke Belediyespor · +12 more · +1 we hold a result for but not the fixture
12pm · 7 games
Bristol City U21 v Charlton Athletic U21 · Werder Bremen (Youth) v Hannover 96 Am · Portugal U19 v Netherlands U19 · +4 more
1pm · 9 games
Algeria U20 v Egypt U20 · Eswatini U23 v Malawi U23 · Democratic Rep Congo U23 v Mauritania U23 · +6 more
2pm · 4 games
Sakaryaspor v Arit Kayadibi · Sudan U23 v Rwanda U23 · Kazakhstan v Faroe Islands · +1 more
3pm · 6 games
Burkina Faso U23 v Sierra Leone U23 · Felgueiras U23 v Estrela FC U23 · Uganda U23 v Ethiopia U23 · +3 more
4pm · 2 games
Karsiyaka v Afyonkarahisaspor · Molinos El Pirata v Ayacucho Futbol Club
5pm · 3 games
Libya U23 v Togo U23 · Russia v Nigeria · Jordan v Venezuela
6pm · 57 games
Hornchurch v Fulham U21 · Accrington Stanley v Salford City · Huddersfield Town v Rochdale · +54 more
7pm · 4 games
Real Oruro v Real Tomayapo · Angola v Malawi · Montserrat v Turks Caicos Islands · +1 more
8pm · 4 games
Benjamin Aceval v Independiente Luque · French Saint-Martin v Bahamas · Argentina v Benin · +1 more
9pm · 1 game
St. Vincent Grenadines v Sint Maarten
10pm · 3 games
Real Potosi v San Antonio Bulo Bulo · Deportivo Santani v Guairena · Sport Club do Recife v Sao Bernardo
11pm · 4 games
Antigua Barbuda v Aruba · Mexico v Chile · Goiás EC v Athletic Club MG · +1 more
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
All times UTC. We hold hour-by-hour fixtures for 61 days; the archive begins 26 August 2026 and grows by a day every day. Counts are of calls we settled on this day - a strike rate is not a profit, and the full record with its real denominator is on the track record. In-play momentum strategies are included, matched to their fixture by id. We publish the 300 most recently settled, so on a busy day this is a partial view of them rather than the whole one.
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Tuesday 6 October 2026

Markets & avoid

Our record in every market we have settled, and what our own record says does not work.

Our record by market

7 markets with a settled record

Every single pick we have settled, pre-match and in-play, by market, the strongest rate first. These are all-time records, not today’s.

Over 1.5 goals
Two or more goals in the match
75.6%
16,486 of 21,814
Double chance, home or draw
The home side wins or it is a draw
73.8%
12,186 of 16,519
Double chance, draw or away
The away side wins or it is a draw
69.0%
5,528 of 8,006
Over 2.5 goals
Three or more goals in the match
54.3%
12,415 of 22,845
Both teams to score
Each side scores at least one
51.3%
11,648 of 22,701
Home win
The home side wins in 90 minutes
50.6%
8,359 of 16,519
Away win
The away side wins in 90 minutes
46.2%
3,702 of 8,006

70,324 of 116,410 single picks landed across every market (60.4%). Markets clear at very different rates, so they are never averaged together. A strike rate is not a profit. Every market we price.

Avoid

What our own record says does not work

17in 100

Long shots. 112 of 663 picks priced 3.00 or longer landed, the ten a day our model rated best against the price, 11 July to 16 September.

Our model said51
The prices said21
Landed17
050100 in 100

Markets the score has already settled

Over 1.5 goals at 2-0 has already happened. A price may still show; there is nothing left to back. We leave these out of our record and count them here.

4,882of121,292

single picks left out (4%)

4,660of29,318

in-play calls left out (16%)

3,251goal line passed
1,278both had scored
330after full time

Why the single picks were decided. These 3 reasons cover 4,859 of the 4,882.

A strike rate is not a profit.

Back to Tuesday 6 October 2026

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