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Every kick-off, and how our calls did

Every match of the day by hour, which of them we called, and how those calls finished. Open an hour for its fixtures.

landedmissedrunningnot settlednot startedToday224 fixtures on this day
The day
224fixtures
24we price
Busiest hour
18:0040 kick-offs
12am · 2 games
Universitario de Deportes (w) v Palmeiras SP (w) · Estudiantes La Plata v CR Flamengo
1am · 0 games2am · 1 game
Deportivo Saprissa v Sporting San Jose
3am · 0 games4am · 0 games5am · 0 games6am · 0 games7am · 0 games8am · 3 games
PSIM Yogyakarta v PSM Makassar · PWD Sports Club v Mohammedan Dhaka · MSPCC City Club v Bashundhara Kings
9am · 3 games
Dong Thap v CLB Binh DInh · Thitsar Arman FC v Ispe FC · Sydney FC v Western Sydney
10am · 0 games11am · 13 games
Chertanovo Moscow Youth v CSKA Moscow (R) · Rubin Kazan (R) v Spartak Moscow Youth · FK Ural Youth v Lokomotiv Moscow Youth · +10 more
12pm · 20 games
CSKA Pamir Dushanbe v Sardor Tursunzoda · Madura United v Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC · Persijap Jepara v Adhyaksa Farmel FC · +17 more
1pm · 22 games
Singida Fountain Gate v Pamba SC · Belarus U17 v Slovenia U17 · Kiryat Yam SC v Kafr Qasim · +19 more
2pm · 9 games
FC Floresti v Speranta Nisporeni · Zimbru Chisinau B v Vulturii Cutezatori · Sama Al Sarhan v Al Yarmouk · +6 more
3pm · 31 games
Termez Surkhon v Xorazm Urganch · Tritones Vallarta MFC v H2O Purepechas FC · ES Ben Aknoun v USM Alger · +28 more
4pm · 26 games
de Linnameeskond (W) v FC Flora Tallinn (w) · FC Wacker Innsbruck v SV Austria Salzburg · Tatran LM v Banik Lehota Pod Vtacnikom · +23 more
5pm · 39 games
AS Kigali v APR FC · Rot-Weiss Erfurt v FSV Zwickau · Wallern v Vortuna Bad Leonfelden · +36 more
6pm · 40 games
Helmond Sport v NAC Breda · Norwich City U21 v West Ham U21 · RWD Molenbeek U21 v RS Waasland Beveren U21 · +37 more
7pm · 4 games
AcademiaDB v Real Potosi · Deportivo La Coruna v Levante · Brunos Magpie v Europa Point · +1 more
8pm · 2 games
Bolivar (W) v Club Olimpia (w) · Los Chankas v AD Tarma
9pm · 0 games10pm · 6 games
Prague Raptors (w) v Sparta Praha (w) · FC Viktoria Plzen (w) v Slavia Praha (w) · Horni Herspice (w) v Slovan Liberec (w) · +3 more
11pm · 3 games
Supra Du Quebec v York United FC · Chapulineros v Montaneses FC · Sport Club do Recife v Fortaleza
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
All times UTC. We hold hour-by-hour fixtures for 61 days; the archive begins 26 August 2026 and grows by a day every day. Counts are of calls we settled on this day - a strike rate is not a profit, and the full record with its real denominator is on the track record. In-play momentum strategies are included, matched to their fixture by id. We publish the 300 most recently settled, so on a busy day this is a partial view of them rather than the whole one.
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Friday 16 October 2026

Markets & avoid

Our record in every market we have settled, and what our own record says does not work.

Our record by market

7 markets with a settled record

Every single pick we have settled, pre-match and in-play, by market, the strongest rate first. These are all-time records, not today’s.

Over 1.5 goals
Two or more goals in the match
75.8%
16,994 of 22,421
Double chance, home or draw
The home side wins or it is a draw
73.8%
12,505 of 16,936
Double chance, draw or away
The away side wins or it is a draw
69.0%
5,672 of 8,217
Over 2.5 goals
Three or more goals in the match
54.6%
12,802 of 23,455
Both teams to score
Each side scores at least one
51.5%
12,006 of 23,313
Home win
The home side wins in 90 minutes
50.8%
8,598 of 16,936
Away win
The away side wins in 90 minutes
46.3%
3,805 of 8,217

72,382 of 119,495 single picks landed across every market (60.6%). Markets clear at very different rates, so they are never averaged together. A strike rate is not a profit. Every market we price.

Avoid

What our own record says does not work

17in 100

Long shots. 112 of 663 picks priced 3.00 or longer landed, the ten a day our model rated best against the price, 11 July to 16 September.

Our model said51
The prices said21
Landed17
050100 in 100

Markets the score has already settled

Over 1.5 goals at 2-0 has already happened. A price may still show; there is nothing left to back. We leave these out of our record and count them here.

4,882of124,377

single picks left out (4%)

4,660of31,256

in-play calls left out (15%)

3,251goal line passed
1,278both had scored
330after full time

Why the single picks were decided. These 3 reasons cover 4,859 of the 4,882.

A strike rate is not a profit.

Back to Friday 16 October 2026

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