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Every kick-off, and how our calls did

Every match of the day by hour, which of them we called, and how those calls finished. Open an hour for its fixtures.

landedmissedrunningnot settlednot startedToday69 fixtures on this day
The day
69fixtures
18we price
Busiest hour
13:0012 kick-offs
12am · 2 games
Oriente Petrolero v Universitario De Vinto · Cruzeiro Esporte Clube v Sao Paulo
1am · 1 game
Atletico Nacional Medellin v Deportes Tolima
2am · 0 games3am · 0 games4am · 0 games5am · 0 games6am · 0 games7am · 0 games8am · 0 games9am · 2 games
CLB TPHCM (w) v Than KSVN (w) · Phong Phu Ha Nam (w) v Ha Noi (w)
10am · 7 games
Jaiyq v Turan · FK Yelimay Semey B v FK Arys · FK Taraz v Kairat Almaty II · +4 more
11am · 4 games
Mashujaa FC v Polisi Tanzania FC · TNG Thai Nguyen (w) v Ha Noi II(w) · Talasgucu Belediyespor v Kahta 02 Spor · +1 more
12pm · 8 games
Thimphu City v Paro FC · Port FC v Persib Bandung · Johor Darul Takzim v Svay Rieng FC · +5 more
1pm · 12 games
Ararat Yerevan II v Lernayin Artsakh · Andranik v MIKA Ashtarak · Muzinga FC v Young Star · +9 more
2pm · 9 games
Pyramids FC v Olympic El Qanal · Shahdagh Qusar v Zaqatala FK · Asyut Petroleum v Al Ahly SC · +6 more
3pm · 3 games
HJK Helsinki v Vaasa VPS · Mosul FC v Al Quwa Al Jawiya · Namungo FC v Tabora United FC
4pm · 2 games
KuPs v AC Oulu · Alingsas (w) v Elfsborg(w)
5pm · 8 games
Orduspor v Kdz Ereglispor · Zamalek v ZED FC · Al-Wakra v Al-Garrafa · +5 more
6pm · 2 games
Coastal Union v Azam · UCV Moquegua v Cienciano
7pm · 1 game
Always Ready v Nacional Potosi
8pm · 2 games
Bentin Tacna Heroica v Carlos Manucci · Atletico Grau v Los Chankas
9pm · 0 games10pm · 5 games
Tlaxcala FC v Piratas · Santos v CR Flamengo · Nautico (PE) v Gremio Novorizontino · +2 more
11pm · 1 game
Athletico Paranaense v Atletico Mineiro
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
All times UTC. We hold hour-by-hour fixtures for 61 days; the archive begins 26 August 2026 and grows by a day every day. Counts are of calls we settled on this day - a strike rate is not a profit, and the full record with its real denominator is on the track record. In-play momentum strategies are included, matched to their fixture by id. We publish the 300 most recently settled, so on a busy day this is a partial view of them rather than the whole one.
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Thursday 8 October 2026

Markets & avoid

Our record in every market we have settled, and what our own record says does not work.

Our record by market

7 markets with a settled record

Every single pick we have settled, pre-match and in-play, by market, the strongest rate first. These are all-time records, not today’s.

Over 1.5 goals
Two or more goals in the match
75.5%
16,528 of 21,880
Double chance, home or draw
The home side wins or it is a draw
73.8%
12,227 of 16,565
Double chance, draw or away
The away side wins or it is a draw
69.0%
5,542 of 8,028
Over 2.5 goals
Three or more goals in the match
54.3%
12,446 of 22,911
Both teams to score
Each side scores at least one
51.3%
11,674 of 22,768
Home win
The home side wins in 90 minutes
50.6%
8,387 of 16,565
Away win
The away side wins in 90 minutes
46.3%
3,715 of 8,028

70,519 of 116,745 single picks landed across every market (60.4%). Markets clear at very different rates, so they are never averaged together. A strike rate is not a profit. Every market we price.

Avoid

What our own record says does not work

17in 100

Long shots. 112 of 663 picks priced 3.00 or longer landed, the ten a day our model rated best against the price, 11 July to 16 September.

Our model said51
The prices said21
Landed17
050100 in 100

Markets the score has already settled

Over 1.5 goals at 2-0 has already happened. A price may still show; there is nothing left to back. We leave these out of our record and count them here.

4,882of121,627

single picks left out (4%)

4,660of29,403

in-play calls left out (16%)

3,251goal line passed
1,278both had scored
330after full time

Why the single picks were decided. These 3 reasons cover 4,859 of the 4,882.

A strike rate is not a profit.

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